Time to review 2020 and prognosticate on 2021. Around this time last year we wrote a piece titled "2019 A Surprisingly Good Year for Risk Assets: 2020 Outlook," time to do it all again.
This week we revisit a topic we first spoke of when the great Trump Trade War was very much in its infancy. That is the future of global trade and industry and, more importantly, what this means for Australia. The recent moves made by regulators in the US (including blocking off of Tencent and forced sale of TikTok) have brought many of our broader predictions, perhaps unfortunately, to a reality.
This morning the potential for the imposition of import duties on Australian wine by China has made it incumbent upon our government to formulate nuanced policy in an increasingly hostile and uncertain world. What does this mean for Australian investments? What is our world likely to look like over the next decade? These are the fundamental questions we seek to answer this week.
This week we would like to visit perhaps one of the most controversial topics in the investment world. That is the case for investing in Asia, specifically why? And why now? The experiences of many investors in the past, especially retail investors, have simply not been the best. So why is it now the place to be?
This week we return to the topic of innovation. Just what is it that allows innovations to take place? And more particularly where should we be placing our bets to take advantage?
Kevin Smith, of Delft Partners and Portfolio Manager of the TAMIM Asia Small Companies fund, examines the misconceptions surrounding China. For such an important player in the world economy it is wildly misunderstood by the average westerner.
I have observed economic developments in China during the past three decades and found myself very frustrated with the ways in which China is often portrayed in the media. One of the best explanations of our fundamental misunderstanding of China is provided by former World Bank representative in China and Russia, Dr Yukon Huang in his book called “Cracking the China Conundrum Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong”.
When investing it is important to not only be aware of what is happening in your own local market but also the myriad of markets around the world that interact and influence it. One must understand the trends and implications both locally and globally. Global markets continued their upward trajectory and held momentum through March. The most newsworthy stories have been that the May government narrowly avoided the cliff edge with a deadline extension for Brexit negotiations and economic data out of China showing some surprises to the upside. The Chinese government continues to incrementally deliver stimulus to the economy and credit conditions continue to ease up, which we would suggest is the biggest leading indicator of aggregate demand in the short run. This bodes particularly well for the broader emerging markets in the Asia Pacific and Australia where elections will continue to dominate the headlines until the end of May.
Kevin Smith, of API Capital and Portfolio Manager of the TAMIM Asia Small Companies Fund, takes look at the edge that the Asian region has when it comes to innovation. This is a crucial part of the reasoning for ensuring your portfolio is exposed to the region. The purpose of this article is to outline Asia’s strength in the field of innovation, areas of caution to be noted with respect to the quality of innovation and some examples of innovative Asian companies in our portfolio.
Robert Swift, of API Capital and the TAMIM Asia Small Companies fund, takes the time to answer one of the key questions around this newly launched strategy, the risks often associated with Emerging Market currencies.
Markets & Commentary
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TAMIM Asset Management provides general information to help you understand our investment approach. Any financial information we provide is not advice, has not considered your personal circumstances and may not be suitable for you.