Robert Swift takes a look at the current situation around inflation and looks at how we can invest to maintain our spending power in real terms. A must read for those now receiving next to nothing for their bonds and fixed income.
As long-term investors in Taiwan we prefer to look at the investment flows by Taiwanese companies into China as an indicator of the state of relations and not media speculation regarding the prospect for military hostilities. If China were going to invade Taiwan it would have happened years ago. The financial relationship between China and Taiwan is strong and growing. It is that financial relationship which will ultimately guide China and Taiwan to a sensible compromise regarding political differences.
By now most of the readership, we assume, has heard about the Archegos Capital fiasco. A situation that, last Friday, shook global equity markets. A series of events wiping out close to 50% of the market capitalisation of Discovery, more than 50% of Viacom, 20% off Baidu to name a few, not to mention the fact that it has led to an increased level of volatility in global markets. But, just in case you haven’t and you are an investor who has been scratching his/her head at what has been happening in terms of price action, read on.
Robert Swift takes a look at the shift in language coming from central bankers and finance ministers and, more importantly, the implications for equities and bonds.
Sometimes you get a piece of good advice early in your career, from someone older, that you respect. You should remember that advice and follow it. One of these is often “never say we told you so; it just irritates”. We’re going to break that rule; in a polite way.
This week, in our final article of the year, we make some predictions going into 2021. Hopefully I end up with a better score than the 3.5/5 for 2020. I wouldn’t bet on it, but again this is the investor in me looking at my surroundings and trying to come up with probabilities. So without much ado (not about nothing), here are five more.
Time to review 2020 and prognosticate on 2021. Around this time last year we wrote a piece titled "2019 A Surprisingly Good Year for Risk Assets: 2020 Outlook," time to do it all again.
Recent weeks have highlighted the rather uncomfortable and somewhat frosty relationship between our nation and our largest trading partner. Hence we thought it might be pertinent to revisit the topic, something we first elaborated upon in the infancy of the Trump administration and his “trade war.” Much has changed and the situation continues to evolve.
We won't beat around the bush, this is a simple suggestion to look at listed Infrastructure equities as a source of dividend yield, reliability and yes, even capital growth.
Sid Ruttala fleshes out a number of the points that Robert Swift has been talking about in his weekly Ausbiz appearances. Heading into the pointy end of the US presidential election, there is always heightened uncertainty in investment markets and (as much as we might want to given 2020 so far) this is not the time to bury one’s head in the sand and hope for the best.
We begin this week with the latest update in the throwing of the kitchen sink story which we first elaborated upon, what seems like years ago, in March. Back then we posited that the Federal Reserve would become the lender of last resort for the corporate sector and dispense with all sense of normality. And so here we are, the Federal Reserve has, as of last night (15 June), made a commitment to buy corporate bonds on an individual basis (as opposed to the high-yield ETF that was bought through a special purpose vehicle). This latest action should make for some interesting watching when Powell goes up in front of Congress on June 16th and 17th where he will surely be asked the question of whether the Fed is in the process of nationalising corporate debt. At this point, we ask the question: is it such a stretch to imagine that once you can put credit risk on the balance sheet of a central bank it's not too far to equities risk, is it?
Kevin Smith takes a look at some of the political issues that have contributed to mass protests in Hong Kong and the impact on the risk and return characteristics of the local equity market in the short and long-term.
Kevin Smith takes a look at some of the long-term business management trends in Japan and the impact on reported profits and balance sheets. After two decades of reducing debt, corporate Japan is in a strong position versus their international competitors in a world of Covid-19.
This week we visit perhaps one of the most prominent and divisive topics in investing at present. That is the future of energy markets and, in particular, where the price of oil heads to from here.
As always, take our ramblings with a grain of salt since, like you, we are trying to make sense of an investment universe that gets ahead of us. One recollects the words of Jean Baudrillard in this environment for “We live in a world where there is more and more information, and less and less meaning.” As such we shall try make use of our limited rationality to extrapolate as much meaning as we can.
Robert Swift, portfolio manager of the TAMIM Global High Conviction strategy, suggests three vitally important principles to see you through this coronavirus crisis.
This week we would like to revisit a topic on everyone’s minds, that is the impact of the SARS CoV-2 or Covid-19. With the WHO declaration of a pandemic and emergency, we figured that it might be worthwhile digging a little deeper into the actual virus.
Robert Swift takes a brief look at the year that was 2019 and casts his eye toward 2020. What should we expect to see and where might we find risk appropriate returns?
Kevin Smith, of Delft Partners and portfolio manager of the TAMIM Asia Small Companies Fund, addresses Japan in the wake of some of the negative news associated with the market. Japan forms an integral part of both the Asia Small Companies and Global High Conviction portfolios and it is important to stay abreast of what is happening in one of the world's largest economies.
With apologies to Canned Heat and Jack Kerouac, Robert Swift has penned some of his observations from being on the ground in Europe and Hong Kong recently and how these have influenced his thinking when it comes to investing. This week we finish up with Hong Kong.
With apologies to Canned Heat and Jack Kerouac, Robert Swift has penned some of his observations from his recent travels through Europe and how these have influenced his thinking when it comes to investing. This week we move to Germany and the EU.
Kevin Smith, of Delft Partners and portfolio manager of the TAMIM Asia Small Companies Fund, takes a look at the curious case of Japan. What is happening there that should mean it is a safe haven amongst all the global turmoil?
We've been hearing more and more about it in the media, it's time to take a closer look. Huawei's meteoric rise globally is coming to a head as the US/China Trade Kerfuffle drags on and we thought it was time to take a closer look at what they are trying to do. Have we seen this type of empire building before? What does it mean for the average investor at the bottom of the world?
Kevin Smith, of Delft Partners and portfolio manager of the TAMIM Asia Small Companies Fund, looks to his own experience living and working in Hong Kong to place some context around the protests that are causing so much of a disturbance in global markets.
Following on from last weeks well received article we look once again at the implausibility of a genuine currency war between the US and China. This time we focus more on why it simply doesn't make sense from a Chinese perspective.
First things first, apologies to Dire Straits for the title. This week we would like to examine the implausibility of a genuine currency war for a number of reasons, looking into global financial systems and the way currency (NOT cash) is actually created.
Markets & Commentary
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TAMIM Asset Management provides general information to help you understand our investment approach. Any financial information we provide is not advice, has not considered your personal circumstances and may not be suitable for you.