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Robert Swift takes a look at what happened in October in markets. This is an excerpt from Robert's Global High Conviction report for October 2021.
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Robert Swift takes a look at the current situation in China, examining government intervention and the moral issue of investing in China in particular. Ahead of his webinar next week (register here), Robert Swift takes a brief look at the state of the world and what it means for the investors out there. Robert Swift takes a look at the current situation around inflation and looks at how we can invest to maintain our spending power in real terms. A must read for those now receiving next to nothing for their bonds and fixed income.
We wrote about the need for a U-turn in macro policy thinking recently. It looks like we are getting one; or just as important for market psychology, other investors think we are getting one - a shift that is. Read on to learn what investors should consider in this context.
Robert Swift takes a look at the shift in language coming from central bankers and finance ministers and, more importantly, the implications for equities and bonds.
Robert Swift pens a fictitious memo to Jay Powell, elaborating on his thoughts concerning global monetary policy as it currently stands.
Robert Swift takes a look at what happened in February in markets and touches on some of the adjustments made within his portfolio. This is an excerpt from Robert's Global High Conviction report for February 2021.
Sometimes you get a piece of good advice early in your career, from someone older, that you respect. You should remember that advice and follow it. One of these is often “never say we told you so; it just irritates”. We’re going to break that rule; in a polite way.
If something is too hard or whacky then there is a tendency to ignore it and hope it goes away. The recent bizarre price moves in GameStop and AMC and other ‘marginally solvent’ companies is just such a case in point. However, ‘hope’ is not a strategy and it can pay to rummage in the information cellar where you might find something useful / or learn a lesson? So we’ll have a stab at making sense of what looks like nonsense. We might come to a useful conclusion?
Time to review 2020 and prognosticate on 2021. Around this time last year we wrote a piece titled "2019 A Surprisingly Good Year for Risk Assets: 2020 Outlook," time to do it all again.
In light of the US Election results (or lack thereof) we have pulled some excerpts from a US Election webinar featuring Robert Swift run by Australian Fund Monitors.
We have been suggesting for a little while that the RELATIVE performance of the USA equity market is peaking. We have favoured Japan and now increasingly China and Hong Kong too. We still avoid Thailand, Indonesia, India and Malaysia for a number of different reasons. Vietnam is interesting and a favoured destination for FDI but hard to buy. The best way to play that may be through HK listings such as LUKS Group (HK:366).
Read on! Risk assets continue the long march upward with equities higher and yield spreads lower. Is it really a dead cat bounce as some fund managers (in cash) are saying?
In the wake of governments around the world taking on a considerable amount of debt to deal with the ramifications of the ongoing pandemic, Robert Swift breaks down the current situation and looks at a couple of the likely outcomes.
Some equity managers, who presumably sold heavily in March and April, are still calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’. It is unusual for the cat to bounce higher dead than where it was when alive. Yet this is now where we find ourselves. And so we must ask, is the future becoming clearer?
With a bit of luck, continued good behaviour, and the arrival of more medical equipment, we can see an end to isolation. From here-on, it might not be 100 days, let alone 100 years. People will be glad to be out and about and back to work. While human interaction may change for the better for a little while, there will be long term significant persistent changes in attitudes, behaviour and policy, by companies, individuals and governments as a result of this pandemic. Some beneficial for investors, some not so much.
Robert Swift, portfolio manager of the TAMIM Global High Conviction strategy, suggests three vitally important principles to see you through this coronavirus crisis.
Robert Swift takes some time out to provide his thoughts on the developments of the past week. Between the coronavirus situation and the Russia Saudi oil showdown, there is a lot to unpack.
Robert Swift, manager of the TAMIM Global High Conviction strategies, reviews the month that was February from a global perspective and how it impacted his decision making when it comes to his portfolios.
With recent extreme weather events and Greta Thunberg’s proclamations that the end is near, renewable energy is currently a hot topic. Of course, the trend away from fossil fuels has been in train for some time, especially from oil and coal. These trends are only likely to accelerate from here onwards as improvements in technological know-how and greater political pressures gather pace.
Robert Swift takes a brief look at the year that was 2019 and casts his eye toward 2020. What should we expect to see and where might we find risk appropriate returns?
With apologies to Canned Heat and Jack Kerouac, Robert Swift has penned some of his observations from being on the ground in Europe and Hong Kong recently and how these have influenced his thinking when it comes to investing. This week we finish up with Hong Kong.
With apologies to Canned Heat and Jack Kerouac, Robert Swift has penned some of his observations from his recent travels through Europe and how these have influenced his thinking when it comes to investing. This week we move to Germany and the EU.
With apologies to Canned Heat and Jack Kerouac, Robert Swift has penned some of his observations from being on the ground in Europe recently and how these have influenced his thinking when it comes to investing. This week we start with the UK.
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