This week the small cap team provides us with a summary of notable HY18 results from their core positions. Detailing six stocks, it is a must read for avid small cap investors.
Zenitas Healthcare Ltd (ASX:ZNT)
Zenitas continues to execute on its organic and acquisition growth strategy to become a significant national provider of community healthcare services. The half year results confirmed the growth of the Zenitas footprint, with annualised revenues now tracking at over $120m, and Zenitas now operating from 50 locations and employing over 1,700 healthcare professionals. ZNT’s market capitalisation remains below $100m.
Zenitas remains on track to deliver FY19 EBITDA of close to $20m which translates into net earnings of ~12cps. This puts ZNT on a p/e multiple of below 10x and offers significant share price upside potential in our opinion. Subsequent to reporting, we met management and they are confident there will be further near term strategic acquisitions, and ZNT is well placed to enter FY19 with annualised revenues in excess of $130m. ZNT remains the one of largest positions in the portfolio.
Pioneer Credit Limited (ASX:PNC)
Debt purchaser PNC delivered one of the stand-out results of the reporting season, with substantial improvements recorded across all key metrics. In particular, strong delivery on its key metric - cash collections (liquidations) of $46m, puts it on track to collect $100m for the year (up from $70m in FY17).
PNC has increased its forecast FY18 NPAT from at least $16m to $17m, notwithstanding it is investing in a further 50 staff across the business, which will clearly lead to earnings upside in future reporting periods. The company continues to differentiate itself from its competitors with a business model that minimizes the original lender to bad press. This gives them a key competitive advantage when buying debt. PNC has strong earnings and business momentum which led to large upgrades in target prices from brokers following its result - it remains one of the largest positions in the portfolio.
Joyce Corp Limited (ASX:JYC)
Joyce Corporation, an investment company that owns the Bedshed franchise, Australia’s largest kitchen renovation company and a leading online auction company, reported a strong operating result relative to the previous corresponding period.
JYC continues to invest in inorganic growth initiatives across all its business lines, that are expected to benefit future reporting periods. The business has a comprehensive 5 year strategy to deliver sustained strong earnings growth which in our opinion will drive significant upside from current levels.
JYC re-affirmed its full year dividend intention of at least 11cps – putting it on a 7.5% yield fully franked.
Konekt Limited (ASX:KKT)
KKT, a leading provider of workplace injury management and employment services, reported a substantial increase in revenues and underlying EBITDA, reflecting a three month contribution from its employment services acquisition Mission Providence.
While Mission Providence performed strongly, KKT’s underlying business contracted, with reform in the NSW workers compensation market reducing volumes, and KKT’s contract with Medibank also appearing to have come under margin pressure. This lower than expected performance of its core business saw the share price fall on the results release, and as a result it was a significant detractor to the month’s performance.
KKT re-affirmed its full year guidance of a 70% increase in revenue and EBITDA. The company also guided that there will be significant lease costs savings as they combine the offices of Mission Providence and the core business. These costs savings and additional uplift in earnings from Mission Providence puts KKT on a very modest (7x NPATA) earnings multiple for FY19.
At the end of February, KKT was successful in a significant federal government tender to provide disability employment services across Australia. This organic growth initiative represents a new business line for KKT and whilst initial contributions will be small, it offers material medium term earnings potential to the business.
Blackwall Ltd (ASX:BWF)
Blackwall, a property fund manager and manager of the WOTSO co-working concept, reported a 521% increase in profit after tax, after recognizing a significant performance fee during the period.
Pleasingly, BWF’s recurring income demonstrated strong growth, with WOTSO revenue growing 37%, at a 12% margin. With WOTSO annualised revenue tracking at $8.2m, at current margins that suggests an operating profit from WOTSO of ~$1m. It can take up to 3 years for a new WOTSO location to achieve economic maturity at which point margins are generally in excess of 25%. Significant revenue and margin uplift therefore exists from here, however, as long as BWF is investing in new sites, the blended margin will be constrained.
To further drive growth, BWF has also announced:
Dreamscape Ltd (ASX:DN8)
Online solutions provider Dreamscape (DN8) recorded strong growth in revenues (+30%) and gross margin, but due to an unexpected large increase in personnel and marketing costs delivered a poor profit result, with underlying EBITDA down 38%.
DN8 continues to hold the largest market share of domain brands in Australia and has recently become the largest player in Singapore. Whilst the South East Asian business is growing rapidly, the Australian business continues to face headwinds and with the increased group cost structure, the company is likely to remain out of favour for some time.
While this result is disappointing, DN8 represented only a minor portfolio weighting.
Fiducian Group (ASX:FID)
Integrated financial services company Fiducian reported another strong increase in its underlying after tax profit in FY18 of 24%. Its total funds under management, administration and advice (FUMAA) increased 22% to $6.2b across the period. The operating leverage inherent in the business continues to improve, with FID’s Cost to Income ratio reducing significantly in recent years as the business scales up (2013: 70%, H118: 57%).
FID’s FUMAA has been growing strongly in recent years:
With 44 offices throughout Australia, FID is now a substantial national financial services business, benefiting from increasing recurring revenue. FID is well placed to continue to build scale organically and through acquisitions, and to leverage its integrated service offerings to deliver consistent double digit earnings growth.
Gale Pacific Ltd (ASX:GAP)
Shade sale and fabric manufacturer and distributor Gale Pacific reported a messy result that masked some significant progress within the business. The poor grain harvest from the East Coast significantly impacted sales of commercial fabrics to GAP’s largest commercial customer Graincorp, while hurricanes in the southern American states impacted upon retail sales in those geographies. GAP also continues to divest its non-core assets. Notwithstanding these issues, GAP confirmed its FY18 profit is still on track to exceed FY17.
With a market cap of approximately $100m and profit of ~$10m expected in FY18, GAP trades on an undemanding p/e of 10x. We have met with management post-results who are excited about the potential for continued growth in America, which has become the most profitable region for the company. Revenue from America increased 16% in FY17, and is expected to continue to record double digit increases over the coming years. After 2 years of business restructuring and profits going sideways, FY19 is likely to see a return to meaningful profit growth for GAP, driven by its US operations. As the market starts to turn its attention to FY19 we see potential for a significant re-rate from GAP’s current valuation.
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TAMIM Asset Management provides general information to help you understand our investment approach. Any financial information we provide is not advice, has not considered your personal circumstances and may not be suitable for you.